Saban’s hypocrisy about early entrants is appalling

Thanks to Nick Saban, I am now taking a special interest in the career of Jacksonville Jaguars safety Ronnie Harrison.

Drafted in the third round by the Jaguars, he won a starting job during the season last year and started eight games.

Even though he was sidelined with a knee injury the final two games of the year, he will enter the upcoming season as a starter and seems to have a bright future.

That is why it was so puzzling when the Alabama coach singled him out when he went on a rant earlier this month decrying underclassmen for declaring early for the NFL draft.

“If you’re a third-round draft pick, and we had one here last year – I’m not going to say any names — goes and starts for his team so he’s making third-round money, which is not that great,” Saban said. “He’d be the first guy taken at his position this year, probably, and makes $15 to $18 million more.”

Continue reading “Saban’s hypocrisy about early entrants is appalling”

Jaguars’ entire season could be decided in the first 12 days

The NFL’s computers didn’t do the Jacksonville Jaguars any favors when they spit out what turned out to be the schedule this season.

They play two of their toughest games – Kansas City in the opener and New Orleans – in the first six games.

And in the second and third games of the year, the play two division teams – Houston and Tennessee — that swept them last year. And Tennessee has swept them the last two years.

The Tennessee game will be a Thursday night game, so they have three games in the first 12 days. It could be a 12-day season.

The Jaguars went 0-5 against their first three opponents last year and will be underdogs in all three games.

Continue reading “Jaguars’ entire season could be decided in the first 12 days”

Belichick’s grumbles about offseason program are misguided, self-serving

Bill Belichick is unhappy these days.

That is not a news flash. Being grumpy is his normal persona.

And Belichick is used to doing his things his way. Owner Bob Kraft has given him carte blanche to run the New England Patriots the way he wants to. Except Kraft won’t let him cut Tom Brady if he thinks it’s for Brady to move on the way he dumped Cleveland icon Bernie Kosar when he was the Browns’ coach.

There is probably not another coach or executive in the league who has the control over a franchise the way Belichick does.

Still, Belichick has to follow league rules. Sort of. Until he is caught trying to cheat because he doesn’t like those rules.

Continue reading “Belichick’s grumbles about offseason program are misguided, self-serving”

New in-depth draft analytics book is the real deal

In The SIS Football Rookie Handbook, Matt Manocherian sets out to answer the question, “Based on their play on the field, who do our full-time college scouts will think will make the best pro players?”

That caught my eye because with the college season ending in January and the draft not taking place until late April, scouts tend to get so caught in the scouting combine and Pro Day and private workouts that they often don’t put enough emphasis on how the players performed on the field last fall.

Manocherian notes that in February the draft board is “pure.”

“It knows nothing of the ‘Underwear Olympics’ that we call the combine and Pro Days, has heard no input from biased coaches competing against our draft resources and hasn’t yet ruled out players with whom the medical staff is uncomfortable.”

Sports Info Solutions has the largest collection of football scouts under one roof – bigger than any NFL team — with 50 video scouts.

Manocherian is a former NFL scout with the New Orleans Saints and the Cleveland Browns. The video scouts at SIS have spent 40 hours per game charting and analyzing data on every football game played last season.

The book is a combination of scouting and analytics.

He notes that when he was with the Saints, the scouts would take a picture of the draft board in February and tell the same joke.

“Remember what it looks like now because we are about to spend the next two months ruining it,’’ the joke goes.

His books attempts to give fans a look at the board before it’s ruined and is a serious work that will appeal to fans who like to dive into the draft.

The book covers 599 pages and has two pages of information on more than 250 players.

Let’s take a look at what they say about Kyler Murray, because there is so much debate about his pro potential.

They rank him as the second quarterback behind Dwayne Haskins, They say Murray is a rare playmaker who may have to work his release to mitigate size concerns.

They list his strengths as mobility, arm strength and clutch playmaking ability. They list his weaknesses as size, experience  and inconsistent release.

Their last word is that he has the inherent quarterback skills and intangibles necessary to succeed.

The book also delves into discussions like “The Secret Behind the Rams’ Rushing Success.” Hint: The key is motion, not ground and pound.

In a discussion of goal-to-go strategy, it notes the fade is the second-most targeted route type in goal-to-go but is one of the most inefficient throws a quarterback can make in those situations.

It says that drag routes and throws to the flat work best.

That is just one of the hundreds of nuggets of information tucked into the book.

It is the first edition of the book, but is likely to become the gold standard for draft preview books in the future.

If anything, it has almost too much information.

You may have to take time out from your day job to study into all the information in this book.

Kraft faces no good options in embarrassing prostitution case

New England Patriots owner Bob Kraft is finding out the downside of being a celebrity owner in the NFL.

As a legal matter, being charged with solicitation after visiting a Florida massage parlor two days in a row in January – including the morning of the AFC title game being played halfway across the country – is not a big deal.

According to the Wall Street Journal, prosecutors even offered him a deal in which they will drop the charges on the condition that he admit that if the charges hadn’t been dropped, prosecution would have resulted in a conviction.

All he would have to do then is 100 hours of community service, complete an education course about prostitution, be screened for STDs and pay some of the court costs and it would all be over.

It’s likely the low-profile men also charged would take that deal.

Continue reading “Kraft faces no good options in embarrassing prostitution case”

Book argues smartly that salary caps have outlived their usefulness

The salary cap is now an accepted part of the professional sports landscape in the U.S. except in baseball, which has a luxury tax.

The cap is credited for creating parity and giving  all the teams an equal chance to be competitive.

But is the salary cap actually a good idea except for the owners, who use it to control salaries?

As the NFL teams prepare for the start of the league’s new fiscal year, it is a good time to check out a book entitled “Cap In Hand – How Salary Caps are Killing Pro Sports and Why the Free Market Could Save Them” (ECW Press).

The book by Bruce Dowbiggin (a two-time winner of the Gemini Award as Canada’s top broadcaster) with Ryan Gauthier argues that the salary cap has spread the talent and created more mediocre teams piloted by conservative coaches.

Continue reading “Book argues smartly that salary caps have outlived their usefulness”

Shameless Kraft deserves year-long ban and Hall snub

F. Scott Fitzgerald once said the very rich are different from you and me.

Bob Kraft is proving that.

You would think the New England Patriots owner would be keeping a low profile after police in Jupiter, Fla., announced last Friday that Kraft was one of 25 men caught on video visiting a massage parlor where human traffickers were exploiting women.

Instead, he attended pre-Oscar parties in Los Angeles over the weekend.

Kraft craves the limelight so much and loves rubbing elbows with his fellow plutocrats that he can’t be shamed.

Continue reading “Shameless Kraft deserves year-long ban and Hall snub”

Upstart AAF already showing NFL where it can improve the sport

The upstart Alliance of American Football in just one weekend has probably changed the NFL without being affiliated with it.

It showed that kickoffs and extra points aren’t necessary to enjoy a game. Kickoffs are dangerous when they are returned and a waste of time when they aren’t. And eliminating kicking extra points makes the two-point conversion more exciting.

And it takes away the necessity of coaches making mistakes when deciding when to go for two. Many of them go for two too soon. John Fox lost a Super Bowl in Carolina doing that. He twice went for two in the fourth quarter and didn’t make either one. That cost him two points. And then Bill Belichick, playing with free money because the Panthers had cost themselves two points, decided to go for two and made it. That is a three-point swing in a game decided by three points. If Fox would have just kicked the extra points, he would have had overtime and if he won the coin toss probably would have won the game.

And kicking the extra point is a boring play.

The NFL will probably eventually get rid of kicked extra points and kickoffs. It will just take time.

The NFL also needs to follow the lead of the AAF and start the play clock at 35 seconds if not 30. The fast-paced game showed how clunky the NFL games are these days.

Of course, the NFL can’t cut down on the commercials because that would cost them money and the NFL would never do that. But they could present them in different ways. Maybe have a quarter sponsored and have the sponsor have a ribbon across bottom of the screen in lieu of fewer commercials. The NFL has to start thinking outside the box.

It also needs to copy the idea of letting fans listen to the replay official. It is much more transparent. And they need to make decisions quicker if it is not an obvious overturn.

Of course, the AAF has a lot of work to do. Putting a team in an NFL city like Phoenix may have been a mistake. They didn’t announce the attendance, but Kent Somers of the Arizona Republic reported it appeared to be between 10,000 and 15,000.

The Atlanta team also has problems after Brad Childress quit before it played its first game for reasons that weren’t explained. And Michael Vick, who was to be involved with the team, apparently wasn’t eager to put the time in required for the job and may have a league role instead, according to founder Bill Polian.

The league also should consider delaying the start of its season to early March and have a northern team or two.

It also might play down the idea it is a developmental league for the NFL. The bottom line is that Kurt Warner was an exception to the rule. Very few of these players are going to make it in the NFL. It’s not that they just need reps to develop. Most don’t have the talent. But so what? They can still be entertaining.

It also has to be patient. It will take time to grow the audience since CBS Sports Network and the NFL Network, which will show most of the games, don’t have the audience that CBS has as a broadcast network. CBS showed the opening night but won’t televise another game until the title game in late April.

The league’s promotion and PR also need work. As Pro Football Talk pointed out, they don’t even issue box scores or game books like the NFL does.

There is also the question of what the financing is like. The NFL says it is not investing. What is the league’s budget? How much are they prepared to lose before they can turn a profit?

But that’s all for the future. For now, the AAF has already made an impact and shown the NFL needs to make some changes.

Pats fans should savor this one, because it was Tom Brady’s last hurrah

The night of the Super Bowl earlier this month would have been perfect time for Tom Brady to drop the mic and ride off into the sunset.

He has no more worlds left to conquer in the NFL. He is the only player to win six Super Bowl rings. He could have left the way John Elway did after winning back-to-back Super Bowls or the way Peyton Manning did after winning his last one.

Brady, though, is not the retiring type, even though it was obvious this year that he is starting to show his age.

The New England Patriots lost five games during the regular season on the road to teams that didn’t make the playoffs. They would have lost to Kansas City in the AFC title game with Brady throwing a game-deciding interception if Dee Ford hadn’t lined up offsides.

And they probably would have lost to the New Orleans Saints if not for the bad non-call against the Rams that cost Saints a Super Bowl berth. It is hard to imagine the Patriots holding Drew Brees to under 13 points.

Continue reading “Pats fans should savor this one, because it was Tom Brady’s last hurrah”

New book evokes 1980s golden era of NFL coaching greats

We are now in an era dominated by just one coach.                                                
While Bill Belichick of the Patriots goes for his sixth Super Bowl ring as a head coach Sunday, only one other coach, Tom Coughlin, has won more than one in this era. The former Giants coach beat Belichick twice in a five year span in the Super Bowl, but after the second one, he missed the playoffs four years in a row and was fired.
Since Mike Shanahan won back-to-back titles in 1997 and 1998 in Denver, 12 coaches – Dick Vermeil, Brian Billick, Jon Gruden Bill Cowher, Tony Dungy, Mike Tomlin Sean Peyton, Mike McCarthy, John Harbaugh, Pete Carroll, Gary Kubiak and Doug Pederson — have won one each. None of them has won a second one.
That is quite a contrast to the 1980s when three coaches dominated the decade and all made the Hall of Fame.
Bill Walsh of the 49ers and Joe Gibbs of the Redskins each won three Super Bowls  and Bill Parcells of the Giants won two in the 11-year span from 1981 to 1991. And the 49ers won another one in 1989 with basically his team after Walsh retired and added a fifth in 1994. So only two other teams – the Raiders in 1983 under Tom Flores and the Bears in 1985 under Mike Ditka – won titles in that 11-year span.